Sports
NFL Football Power Index: 2025 estimates, super bowl probability
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Seth Walder
Philadelphia eagles Are favorite for winning Super Bowl LX – But just barely, with a group of teams close to the champs that ruled in terms of the ability to hoist the Lombardy Trophy. This is according to ESPN Football power index (FPI) – Our football rating and launch model – which launched on Wednesday 2025 season,
Eagles has a 12% chance to win a super bowl according to the model, the lowest chance that the Preciden favorite had to win all this because the model started production of Presiden projections in 2015.
In Presiden, FPI’s overall forecast ratings are mainly based on winning from the betting market with the schedule of each team – as well as a team’s initial and backup quarters and a special team ratings with factors such as the difference between a different and a special team rating. We use these ratings to simulate the season thousands of times, the results of which make our estimates.
The rating develops because we learn more about each team based on crime, defense and performance of special teams – accounting for the opponent – with quarterback performance and changes. The predictions of the game are also affected by the home-field profit and comfort difference. Let’s dive into our 2025 forecasts and our biggest takeaways.
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top team , Super Bowl , NFC North
NFC West , AFC East , AFC North
Who is the last? , Number 1 pick
Eagles are at the top of NFL’s elite group
The 2025 elite class of NFL has a clear top level: eagles, chiefs, revenue, lions and bills. These teams are most distinguished by one point in the FPI rating, which means that none of them will be in favor of more than each other on one neutral area. But there is a rigorous, 1.8-point drop-off between number 5-ranked bills and number 6-ranked commanders.
See NFL FPI rating for 2025 season first! pic.twitter.com/k6s2fg40x7
– Seth Walder (@Sethwalder) 27 May, 2025
Common theme between top five teams? Aggressive power. This is true, “Defense Vince Championship” Clich is not reflected here. The crime from the game to the game and the season to the season is more stable, so teams with the best previous quarterbacks and aggressive production are more likely to repeat that success. This is important because FPI has to look forward, not back. It is no coincidence that the top five teams also have five best. Crimes According to FPI, in a different order.
But it’s not All Crime-defined champion Eagles overall leads are Oh-Bubbula as they also have the best rescue. With lineback Zack Boon Back to anchor middle and ascending young talents to deal with defensive Jalen karter And cornerback Quineen Mitchell And Cooper DejenPhili’s defense separated it.
All five teams in the top tier have at least 8% chance to win super bowl, and 50% chance that Super Bowl winners will be one of those five teams. Another team does not have more than 5% chance to win all this.
Can we repeat eagles-chiefs in super bowl?
Two of the past Three Super Bowl has been between Canasus City and Philadelphia. Will it be three out of four? 4.2% of the Super Bowl LIX repeat is the largest in any combination of teams in our super bowl matchup projections, which makes the 3.6% probability of the revenue-eagles and bill-eagles match slightly better. The top combinations are listed below and the nearest number is rounded.
When the top 10 looks the most likely super bowl combinations, many different NFC teams appear in the list. Eagles and Lions show the most, but commanders, Ram and 49ers appeared in one of the most possible combinations each. The AFC side of the matchup was dominated by three teams – heads, bills and revenue.
Who is a favorite in the loaded NFC North?
This is not a great surprise, but every team in NFC North ranks in the top half of the FPI rating. Detroit proceeds to number 4, followed by packers (number 8), vikings (number 15) and beer (number 16).
If there is a curveball, it is that Minnesota ranks only 15th after leaving 14–3 in 2024. But the Vikings trusted their defense-which was third in the EPA-the last season in the last season, ranking an average 15th. And even though Bryan Floors remain as defensive coordinator, it is difficult to repeat defensive success.
Also, second year quarterback JJ McCarthi After one is unknown Remember their crook season With a torn maniscus in your right knee. While it can be more reverse than last year’s starter, Sam darnoldThe negative aspect of McCarti is almost certainly low. Therefore, FPI gives Minnesota only 19% to win the division and 43% chance to reach the playoffs.
Meanwhile, the bears moved in the opposite direction. After finishing 24th in Chicago total efficiency (adjusted EPA adjusted for garbage time last season), FPI sees it as the minimum-average team entering 2025. The reasons for optimism are clear. Bear brought New coach Ben Johnson and couple Important talent For their aggressive line, and quarterbacks Kaleb Williams Now NFL is a season of experience – even if it is experience Was unstable,
So, who comes forward? Lions led the route with 41% shot to win the division, with packers at 25%. But they all have a chance, as even bears are 15%.
Can 49ers bounce back and win NFC West?
FPI has narrowed Ram to Ram as the best team in NFC West. But favorite for winning division? He will be (Very Narrowly) should be 49ers, with 36% shot shot at 34% of Ram.
Why discrepancy? Schedule strength. No team enters 2025 An easy slate Compared to 49 residents, who not only encounter NFC South and AFC South like the rest of their division, but also the final form in the division in 2024 to veterans, browns and beers. First place schedule,
This is enough to give San Francisco an edge in estimates on Los Angeles. It also indicates the confidence of FPI in 49 residents of disappointing disappointingly disappointingly disappointing after 6–11 expeditions. A large part of that belief is betting market that believes that there were 49ers Obstructed by injuries To key players Last season – including comprehensive receiver Brandon ayukRunning back Christian Macfrey And aggressive lineman Trent Williams – And they should be dangerous Be healthy,
Can any of other AFC East teams challenge the bill?
They Be able toBut no individual team is expected to do this especially. Buffalo is the only AFC East team with a positive FPI rating and will be considered more preferred than four-points on each other three on a neutral region. And bills have 65% chance of winning their division – NFL had the biggest difference of any team.
Of course, it leaves more than 1 -in -3 opportunity that someone else will win a pre -AFC. This is mainly due to the uncertainty of football – the FPI can eliminate bills or reduce someone else, or one of other teams may destroy the division title despite not having good as a holistic buffelo.
But that variance will always be. Meanwhile, the bill is again in a good position as it gets to win their division.
Will Bangles return to the playoffs?
Perhaps Cincinnati’s 2024 campaign despite quarterbacks ended disappointing in regular session Joe Buro Ranking in third CuburyThe best performance of his career. But Defense grabbed Bangles back, as he finished 23rd in EPA, allowed per game and struggled specifically against the run, defending the 30th -ranked plays in the EPA.
But the lack of consistency with good rescue is also with weak units. Cincinnati replaced Lu Anarumo is offsen, which enhances the uncertainty of FPI on that side of the defensive coordinator Lu Anarumo with Al Golden. Eventually, the model estimates Bangles to protect an average, which takes them to number 7 in the overall ranking.
Rewens AFC North Champion is most likely at 54%so far, and Bangles is at the next 29%. But Cincinnati has a 60% chance of reaching the playoffs. It forms the fourth-most chewing playoff team in AFC after remembering Postsen in the last two sessions.
Who ranks the final?
FPI’s 32nd ranked team is not Titans, Brown or Giants. These are saints who find themselves at the bottom of the ranking Sudden retirement Veteran Quarterback Derek Car. His retirement Forces New Orleans to trust Either the crooks in the second round Tyler Shaf Or second year player Spencer Ratler In quarterbacks, stopping another step. All the crooks quarterbacks are seen as a negative in FPI, but a second-recorder like Shaf-who guesses the models-will be considered a little bad. Cameron WardWhich Tennessy chose with the number 1 pick.
The good news for the monk is that FPI does not think much about NFC South. Only bucccaneers have a positive FPI rating (they are ranked 14th). Falcon and Panthers are ranked 26th and 28th respectively. Partly because the division is so weak, all four NFC South teams rank in the lower six in the strength of the schedule, which increases each of their winning estimates. As a result, the monk has only the fourth best opportunity on the number 1 pick in the 2026 draft, despite the overall FPI rankings at his last place.
Cleveland on the clock?
Brown is the most potential team that ends the number 1 pick to end the season 2026 NFL DraftWith 13% shot. Most of these are due to a quarterback room Joe Fleko, Kenny picket, Dillon gabriel And Shedur sanders And from a difficult tolerance Schedule,
The veterans have been rated slightly above Brown in FPI and the second biggest chance to earn the number 1 pick at 12%due to the league facing. Most difficult scheduleTitans, Saints and Jets follow with 11%, 10% and 10% possibilities respectively.
Sports
Velvan Senthilkumar saw Abhay Singh to reconstruct the National Squash title; Anahat Singh completes a triple. More sports news
New Delhi: On Thursday, the motley crowd inside the squash hall of Major Dhyan Chand National Stadium contained the top seed Abhay Singh firmly for Abhay Singh to add another national title to his kitty. But other seeds Velvan Senthilkumar had other plans. Facing his perennial rival in the men’s singles final, the men showcased skills and mental cruelty to re-achieve national glory with a victory of 11-8, 11–9, 4–11, 11-8 at the HCL National Squash Championships here. Velvan avenged his defeat in the last final, winning his second national title after his victory in 2023. The championship match was more than a racket competition. It was the story of flexibility and strategic mastery. Velvan, who entered as a challenger, saw the intention of learning from the earlier failures against defending champion Abhay. The first two games were fought intensely, but both ended in favor of Velvan, thanks to their clinical finishing and strategic use of court angles. Abhay adopted the third game 11–4, but Velvan again organized, dominating the fourth game important for the title. Velvan told TOI after the match, “Every time we play, it is different. He (Abhay) has been a good year. So today was a mental fight. I just had to stay in rallies and push. The difference was,” Velvan told TOI after the match. “I was just focusing on every point. I did not focus on the result or anything peripheral. He said that I was trying to focus on it which I could control and just give everything for the point I was playing, “he said. Velvan is famous for its aggressive, attacking style, marked with agility and accuracy. In court, she combines quick footwork with powerful, well -placed shots. His left -arm drama provides a different edge, allowing him to take advantage of unusual angles that guess opponents. Velvan’s gameplay is also strategic. His approach is a mixture of calculated risks and tireless court coverage, wearing opponents with both speed and stamina. National title hat -trick for Anahat India’s top ranked female squash player Anahat Singh won her third gradual national title, defeating second seed Akanka Salunke 11-7, 11-6, 11-4 to the final. Salunke reduced the legend Joshna Chinappa In the semi -finals. The 17-year-old Anahat was the best dominance in his day, with his drama marked by shot placements, subtle, deceptive-tested drop shots and luxurious strategic awareness commanding.
Bengaluru: Mohammed Shami It is barely a week away from its 35th birthday and is much slower than once, but does not fire within the fire. There is neither austerity to fight. Call it one day in recent times with many of his magnificent colleagues, Shami There have been not many sub-signs to walk in sunset. But the premiere fast bowler is not yet throwing in the towel, and as he repeated a few days ago, “I will leave the day I get bored. You don’t pick me up, don’t pick me up, don’t play me, I don’t care. But I will keep working hard.” Possibly one of India’s finest pace-bouncing exporters, Shami focused on the 2027 50 over World Cup. Mentally, he is there. The question is, will his body be caught? His final presence in the ODI format was, finally, earlier this year was in the final of the Champions Trophy in Dubai in March. Playing in its first competitive red-ball game since November 2024, Bengal Pesar was slow, but there was no rust in the Duleep Trophy tie between the east and the north region. BCCI The center of excellence here on Thursday. He bowled 17 overs spread over four mantras, focusing more on accuracy rather than speed, on a surface that offered considerable bounce but slightly seam movement.
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He was effective, but was not severe, watching mainly to test his horrified body. In his first magic of five overs, his INSWINES harassed with a good length-Solemy batsmen Shubam Khajuria and Ankit Kumar, especially when the next magic of their three overs was rather uneven, took some edges to the right foot. After lunch, shami switched ends and gears. He assessed the conditions for his satisfaction, and his third mantra of 4–2–9–0 was the best of the day. Shami was investigating more, as he excluded Ayush Badoni and Yash Dhul in the corridor. He finally hit a late delivery in the day that sent Sahil Lotra back. Shami continued the investigation line and in the 70th over, Lotra offered a thick edge to wicketkeeper Kumar Kushagra. For Kushagra, this catch was redemption, which had earlier dropped Kanhaiya Wadhawan from Shami. To ensure an early end with rain, it will be interesting to see how Shami and his new ball companion Mukesh KumarWhich went out for nine overs due to a moist, renting on a moist surface.
PV SindhuWho struggled to find his rhythm in the first two rounds, hit the top form on Thursday. The 2019 world champion looked completely under control as he dismissed the second seed Wang Zee Yi of Chinese directly in the Games and entered the Women’s Single Quarterfinals at the BWF World Championship in Paris. Now ranked at number 15 in the world, Sindhu surprised one of the best win in recent times to the two-time Asian Champion 21-19, 21-15 in 48 minutes. Apart from this, making the last-eight phases Indian mixed doubles pair Dhruv Kapila and Tha. Tanisha krastoHe won a sensational victory against the fifth seeds Tang Chun Man and Hong Kong China’s Tse Ying Sue, 19-21, 21-12, 21-15. These wins gave great pleasure in the Indian camp after the disadvantage of heart breaking HS Pranoy On Wednesday night. Indian veteran failed to capitalize on two match points before going down against Anders Antonson of Denmark, rank number no. 2. 2023 World Championship Bronze-Medlist fought about an hour and half slowly before losing 8-21, 21–17, 21-23. The fourth day of the competition was definitely of Indus. The five-time World Championship medalist began at a high and entered the first mid-game brake with a five-point lead (11–6). The 25-year-old Chinese jumped back and increased by 19–17. Tall Hyderabadi showed his flexibility and re-closed the gradual points to achieve the game at 21–19. In the second game, 30-year-old Sindhu did not allow Chinese to take an early lead as she enjoyed the scorline for the break. Wang held four straight points to make a strong recovery. Subsequently, Sindhu dominated her opponent to close the game at 21–15. A marathon 57-shot rally tested the Indus, but gained control with a decisive attack game. Sindhu will shut the horns with Indonesia’s world number 9 daughter Kusuma Wildoni on Friday. Sindhu faced her four times and won twice. Sindhu is now just one win from achieving record-Sayan Sixth World Championship Medal. Sindhu said after the match, “When I stepped into court, she was like any other player for me. I knew that it was not easy from round one in the World Championship. You would have to fight for every point, every rally. I wanted to give 100 percent,” Sindhu said after the match. “Of course, Wang is a very good athlete, but it was not in my mind. I just had to be consistent and keep the shuttle inside, ”said Sindhu. Sindhu thus raised her remarkable record 8–0 against Chinese shuttlers in the world, first Wang Yihan (2013), Wang Shiksian (2014), Li Zueerui (2015), Sun You (2017) and Chen Youfei (2017 and 2019). “This is just one match for me at a time. I need to be very strong tomorrow, and be ready for everything,” he said. In the mixed doubles, Dhruv and Kapila re -organized with confidence after accepting the initial game. He dominated the second game and took the speed to decider. The big victory has now set up a high-handed quarterfinal clash against Malaysia’s fourth seeded Chen Tang Ji and toh E Wei. Tanisha said, “We had a thick run a few months ago. I think we are building together, step by step.” We were better prepared this time. We did not give up at any point in the match. Even after losing the first game, we did not let it go to us. We fought even more difficult battle in the second and third, “Tanisha said.
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